An estimated 5.4 billion people globally are expected to be covered under some form of universal health care (UHC) by 2030, up from 4.3 billion in 2015, but far below the related target in United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 3, according to a new scientific study.

The study finds that, while health spending is expected to rise over the coming decades, it is likely to continue constraining efforts to achieve universal health coverage. The analysis was conducted by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington and published in the international medical journal The Lancet.

“Our analysis emphasizes the need to ensure sufficient health financing for UHC in the era of the UN Sustainable Development Goals,” said Dr. Christopher Murray, Director of IHME at the University of Washington and Professor of Global Health. “We identified the correlation that a 10 percent increase of pooled resources, such as government health spending, prepaid private spending, and development assistance for health, equates to a 1.4 percent increase in universal health coverage.”


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